AI · resolved market
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3681c6be3faf6b4f05918ed0bc9786e41e600d9882c335907b5a3402bf93494
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 7c | 9,403$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.28 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfb…9109backed Yes | 2c | 5,150$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,441$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 13c | 3,070$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.7 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 8c | 2,948$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…4d17backed Yes | 33c | 1,708$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.77 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 32c | 1,633$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.01 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,534$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 3c | 1,376$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 5c | 1,267$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa68b…c4b4backed Yes | 4c | 1,113$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…5a50backed Yes | 3c | 1,077$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 15c | 1,048$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed No | 65c | 999.95$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 10c | 941.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 893.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 416 | 7.5%31 W · 385 L | -25.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 8c | 886.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 19c | 857.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.46 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 753.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 18c | 750.38$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 5c | 716.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 10c | 648.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 639.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 17c | 615.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 11c | 613.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…e488backed Yes | 5c | 574.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 47c | 446.06$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 11c | 419.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 395.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed Yes | 25c | 375.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 359.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 344.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf81…697dbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…ca4dbacked Yes | 17c | 290$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…9e4cbacked Yes | 34c | 290$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…399dbacked No | 66c | 290$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 10c | 260.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 29c | 244.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…2b0dbacked Yes | 13c | 225.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 5c | 222.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 217.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 48c | 210.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 77c | 205.59$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…bdaebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…ed38backed Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a818backed Yes | 18c | 198.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed Yes | 56c | 178.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 29c | 162.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16a6…b440backed Yes | 40c | 161.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 157.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 11c | 157$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…de8dbacked Yes | 57c | 151.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 50c | 151.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 46c | 126.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 121.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 117.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…bbe4backed Yes | 23c | 112$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 74c | 104.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes | 18c | 101.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6605…f0f3backed Yes | 34c | 100.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa420…e708backed Yes | 34c | 97.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 29c | 88.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 29c | 81.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed Yes | 20c | 79.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 79c | 79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…e0c0backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 46c | 76.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 16c | 73.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…6460backed Yes | 50c | 71.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34af…bd55backed Yes | 34c | 71.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac2…b483backed Yes | 24c | 63.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 38c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 43c | 62.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…6eb9backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…6ceebacked Yes | 35c | 53.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…b6e7backed Yes | 32c | 48.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…c44bbacked Yes | 63c | 41.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 25c | 40.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…1da9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…2d21backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 39.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4c27…8cc1backed Yes | 54c | 36.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 78c | 36.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 44c | 35.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…8f20backed Yes | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…a0b7backed Yes | 58c | 34.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb65…a419backed Yes | 59c | 32.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.5wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…3726backed Yes | 59c | 29.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 45c | 26.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes won
- Will ByteDance have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.