AI · resolved market
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62d3940c2c5881f4f380a416f329bfd654b4d8045a74e1cdbcc2a232eb113a83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $460,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 4c | 80,766$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.66 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 37,392$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.28 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 2c | 6,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 6,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 4c | 3,701$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…cc57backed Yes | 7c | 3,573$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…981bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,441$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…3318backed Yes | 2c | 3,250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…6705backed Yes | 7c | 3,209$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 4c | 2,938$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…50b4backed Yes | 3c | 2,829$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba6…2d95backed Yes | 2c | 2,718$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837e…7696backed Yes | 3c | 2,686$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…8f73backed Yes | 2c | 2,359$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 2,175$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…0ce3backed Yes | 7c | 2,078$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…d7cabacked Yes | 2c | 2,008$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…281bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,979$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…8eeebacked Yes | 2c | 1,894$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 7c | 1,842$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…696cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,786$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,756$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…34d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,708$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1898…f7ecbacked Yes | 3c | 1,674$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…44fcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,658$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…9f49backed Yes | 2c | 1,655$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…412abacked Yes | 2c | 1,651$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…3eacbacked Yes | 2c | 1,627$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…2cdfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,612$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…dce1backed Yes | 1c | 1,605$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a52…eac9backed Yes | 2c | 1,599$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…f692backed Yes | 2c | 1,578$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,551$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf63…88e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,547$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…a6a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,525$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…67afbacked Yes | 2c | 1,486$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…af07backed Yes | 7c | 1,451$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…bd61backed Yes | 7c | 1,413$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…a796backed Yes | 7c | 1,331$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…a153backed Yes | 2c | 1,299$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 4c | 1,247$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 6c | 1,213$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…fc93backed Yes | 2c | 1,189$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…0783backed Yes | 2c | 1,184$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…6faabacked Yes | 3c | 1,177$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…8cb2backed Yes | 2c | 1,172$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…f0b6backed Yes | 2c | 1,122$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aff…3ebdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…50d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,065$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 3c | 1,014$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610f…f2b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,010$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…a8c6backed Yes | 2c | 983$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b5…28b4backed Yes | 2c | 909$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…f1a5backed Yes | 2c | 880$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 858.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1204…83f6backed Yes | 3c | 856$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…f507backed Yes | 2c | 767$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 5c | 755.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…5af4backed Yes | 2c | 745$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…820bbacked Yes | 10c | 657$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 6c | 631.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…5048backed Yes | 3c | 613$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…63febacked Yes | 9c | 591$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 4c | 532$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 4c | 526.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe431…0444backed Yes | 9c | 512$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 470.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…e575backed Yes | 10c | 456$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa34…d381backed Yes | 2c | 417$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…79f7backed Yes | 4c | 402.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 6c | 387.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed Yes | 6c | 322$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 4c | 313.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 7c | 301.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 4c | 280.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 4c | 279.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 7c | 256.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 241.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd5…4d46backed Yes | 7c | 157$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0c6ebacked Yes | 10c | 123$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes won
- Will ByteDance have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.