AI · resolved market
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a7b943ce3298492c6a6a6b077e3ef7a17c5280b1c55d57caedf9f589fb83697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,391$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.54 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 11c | 1,790$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.33 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7c…9fc8backed Yes | 12c | 1,026$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 892.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 888.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…a0a0backed Yes | 18c | 610.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 467.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 34c | 420.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 20c | 361.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 13c | 351.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…ac80backed Yes | 29c | 308.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 18c | 304.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 17c | 267.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 7c | 266.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 258.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 11c | 235$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…a571backed Yes | 8c | 212.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 5c | 205$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…68eebacked Yes | 34c | 201.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 18c | 165$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +84%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d23…031abacked Yes | 12c | 153.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…5c30backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…f2c0backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 137.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 79c | 132.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…2b0dbacked Yes | 24c | 127.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 27c | 126$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…4a46backed Yes | 14c | 125.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes | 14c | 123.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes | 21c | 116.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…6832backed Yes | 22c | 116.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…1b78backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 36c | 110.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…88e3backed Yes | 17c | 108.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6057…9a52backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 11c | 97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 92.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 16c | 91.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…18c6backed Yes | 38c | 86.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 82.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 69c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 30c | 58.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc247…be63backed Yes | 38c | 54.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 75c | 50.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0810…9650backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…950abacked Yes | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…8ba5backed Yes | 28c | 46.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…7e0abacked No | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…c729backed No | 68c | 43.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 69c | 38.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2,281.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 36.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 36c | 34.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 69c | 33.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 78c | 30.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 67 | 83.6%56 W · 11 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 142 | 81%115 W · 27 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…d9cfbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 73c | 28.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 69c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24e…b5b9backed Yes | 41c | 27.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ab…4135backed Yes | 44c | 27.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…2bb3backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 80c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?this page
- Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.