AI · resolved market
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ea3e48a278c03e2e4652420208b9bb49197185fc4a08269f265e4ed8dca0327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 2c | 3,329$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 15c | 1,289$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 18c | 750.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…1032backed Yes | 17c | 579.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 42c | 516.61$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.06 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…4496backed Yes | 14c | 505.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 3c | 429.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 5c | 419.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked No | 61c | 354.27$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…c26abacked Yes | 20c | 273.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 5c | 267.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 15c | 232.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 17c | 230$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 10c | 216.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 7c | 205$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 12c | 195$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 192.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 9c | 165$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +84%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 152.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 79c | 147.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…88e3backed Yes | 13c | 109$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6057…9a52backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…72e9backed Yes | 13c | 87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 48c | 82.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 24c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed No | 58c | 58.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed No | 56c | 52.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed Yes | 35c | 48.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed No | 62c | 42.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +59%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 80c | 38.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?this page
- Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.