AI · resolved market
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7466eca8dfce78de354c2a526c3c4317615fdf14846135c93909815ebe26d066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 15c | 748$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1550…f3a8backed Yes | 2c | 578.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 12c | 428.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 12c | 421.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 395.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 14c | 350$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 460 | 38.9%179 W · 281 L | -31.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 337.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…fdabbacked Yes | 6c | 330.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…a5d0backed Yes | 11c | 313.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed Yes | 37c | 290.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 8c | 267.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…fb23backed Yes | 27c | 250.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 5c | 235$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eea…b745backed Yes | 20c | 216$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…e748backed Yes | 18c | 214.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked No | 63c | 180.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…8079backed Yes | 14c | 163.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…d14bbacked Yes | 15c | 149.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 133.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 14c | 128$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…4cb4backed Yes | 11c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 13c | 118.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…2a4bbacked Yes | 13c | 111.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 13c | 104.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6057…9a52backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf82…f207backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…72e9backed Yes | 14c | 98.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…d2afbacked Yes | 14c | 75.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…bd4ebacked Yes | 29c | 36.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…5a2abacked No | 72c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?this page
- Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.