TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe387…4496backed Yes20c4,022$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed Yes4c2,340$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.225448.1%26 W · 28 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+81.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes18c2,129$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.714233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c99…6efbbacked Yes16c1,874$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9850%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1682…26cabacked Yes9c1,325$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.571921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-59.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91f…c729backed Yes58c1,284$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.12757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked Yes10c1,265$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5110144.6%45 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefa…d902backed Yes1c1,157$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd7…c7e1backed Yes15c1,092$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ecb…4c3abacked Yes19c1,062$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.021816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-58.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x049e…5e44backed No73c999.99$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.656100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes11c847.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.78836%5 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-65.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…0717backed Yes12c799.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3138…2ee1backed Yes3c757.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes5c710.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4813654.4%74 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes2c635$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.222941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8168…6857backed No80c627.19$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.961070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes18c586$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.931,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes7c546.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.341330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick14cpaid+71.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa99…dbbfbacked No66c512.32$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.86354%34 W · 29 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+59.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd48f…2132backed Yes27c507.72$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…5c87backed Yes11c429.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.681020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+62.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes25c401.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes8c386.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.762674.9%13 W · 254 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No64c375.91$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9712050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b4…ac80backed No64c312.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid+7.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes14c267.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes9c260.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.933042%6 W · 298 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc35e…d368backed Yes16c246.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401926.3%5 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a3…9e97backed Yes31c230.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.012429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No75c229.89$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3289317.1%153 W · 740 L-144.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-61.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes7c225$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.694157.2%30 W · 385 L-26.1wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba14…a571backed Yes39c212.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5e…de7abacked Yes5c210$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes12c208.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8718323%42 W · 141 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d7…4952backed Yes10c206.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdad7…005abacked Yes7c205$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.922025%5 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8344…1e09backed Yes48c201.76$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+68.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes13c192$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.963630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…a8a7backed Yes6c181.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes7c181$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.491502.7%4 W · 146 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b13…5957backed Yes11c180$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-60.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…f013backed Yes25c170$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b8…e8fabacked No75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+70.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…fe52backed Yes29c165$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.941020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+84%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76fb…c037backed No69c158.64$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No76c149.38$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.474619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee4…6832backed Yes35c143.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948d…9b36backed No72c140.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes16c135.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.89454.4%2 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-68.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bef…f650backed Yes22c125.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf4…1b78backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6fa…adafbacked Yes22c125$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes21c123.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca58…151fbacked Yes12c122$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ab…88e3backed Yes31c109$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1940%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf3…5c30backed No56c105$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eba…ffa3backed No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595151%26 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes29c97.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3622019.5%43 W · 177 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1201…924abacked No66c95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0d…9ddabacked Yes18c90.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…18c6backed Yes17c86.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Yes17c78.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.656448.4%31 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes34c73.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.055151%26 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes18c73.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.532977.7%23 W · 274 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes16c63.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.486656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No64c63.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8117350.3%87 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…6e64backed Yes35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2869…527dbacked No60c53.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.759444.7%42 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3743…8ba5backed Yes44c45.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3646…ba5abacked Yes26c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b26…cf9abacked Yes26c40.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e57…831dbacked Yes44c39.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No69c38.47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.918955.1%49 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No62c33.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.616783.6%56 W · 11 L+10.3wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+22.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe3bb…fce3backed No49c30.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed No65c30.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No69c24.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.454946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No71c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4820148.8%98 W · 103 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3102…9ba8backed No79c18.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+87.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa859…5a4fbacked No76c17.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.143100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No80c16.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2829430.6%90 W · 204 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed No72c15.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.