TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64ce…944bbacked No47c18,809$8,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,973.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes12c14,334$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.051060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes18c7,256$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.481,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes15c6,323$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94813518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes34c5,323$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.743351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes11c4,255$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.341,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No79c3,174$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.3992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes18c3,072$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c2,896$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.241,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked No75c2,400$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004852.1%25 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes12c2,014$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.644325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.99825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Yes3c1,879$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes14c1,667$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes14c1,570$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2819172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xbc20…2d0dbacked Yes50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed No66c1,321$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.113844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes5c1,250$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+306.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No77c1,181$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5139567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes21c1,128$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1810644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes17c1,110$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7517137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes14c1,102$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9741339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed No45c1,024$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes12c999.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes14c966.6$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.798971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes28c963$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.131323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes30c887.02$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2471443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes16c868.35$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7525652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes17c860.9$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.116460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c77…2eb1backed Yes20c857.69$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes33c844.39$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5922946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Yes12c770.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.46520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.27per pick27cpaid+84.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No71c757.77$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.693324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes14c754.47$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2eb…3e5fbacked Yes28c719.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d2…be08backed Yes10c652$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes15c636.53$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9922269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9cdd…a775backed Yes17c629.41$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x838d…3cbdbacked Yes18c626.72$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.811533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Yes11c609.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.031020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes12c562.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.532850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbfc…b095backed Yes18c559.42$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.79540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes25c537.84$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.284858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Yes17c505.87$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c500$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Yes54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes31c494.68$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.359437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Yes25c424.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9503…1fd2backed Yes16c387.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes37c384$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.088560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes28c334.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.974924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes18c333.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed No45c313.09$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes48c312.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes11c305.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2690%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes4c299.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes50c291.28$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.641,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681f…9492backed Yes55c288.7$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes11c288.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.731040%4 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+110.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes17c286.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.751915.8%3 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…b863backed Yes17c284.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Yes15c267.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a7…b778backed Yes17c264.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes17c260.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes16c249.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No69c242.41$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.974438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No75c235.49$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4714549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes31c209.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.08742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0c…c8adbacked Yes17c205.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+65.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No62c190.35$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8316159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ab8…1920backed Yes49c186.04$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ad…fb53backed No59c169.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.31785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+62.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc06e…5796backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0dc…f68fbacked No76c165.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.72366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd131…eb1abacked Yes7c155.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes39c155.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked No68c149.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No68c146.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.463943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes29c145.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5910249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked No78c142$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.241250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf21a…e5e6backed Yes15c141.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed No72c138.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.622657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes25c137.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.889555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No75c128.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5212247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes38c127.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2110273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1528…b976backed Yes13c111.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No71c107.35$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8325851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.