TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Yes18c17,297$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.271,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Yes23c4,951$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.822941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No79c4,526$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.214761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No76c4,495$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.041,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c4,082$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.623,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes22c2,365$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes16c2,105$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3910045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes10c2,016$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes19c1,623$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.0371443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No76c1,614$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.3499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes22c1,566$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.6178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+306.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c1,248$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes17c1,171$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No76c1,150$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.418971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes23c1,126$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Yes21c917$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes23c879.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No77c864$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1122269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes22c650.73$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.124924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No71c530.38$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6110273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No80c515.02$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.31,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No77c508.42$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3336051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Yes12c489.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.91911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-81.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No79c486.74$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1820849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes19c481.72$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes21c420$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No74c348.69$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes21c336.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No78c319.98$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.163551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes14c303.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.91742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+74.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes17c294$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1d2…be08backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934e…f045backed Yes20c270.6$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes15c258.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes19c257.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes21c246.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.862254.5%12 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.27per pick27cpaid+84.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7118…a2a5backed Yes16c245$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2eb…3e5fbacked Yes21c234.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes17c229.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+91.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes23c229.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-69.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e7a…7e19backed Yes17c207.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes21c204.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.184438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…a775backed Yes22c204.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c77…2eb1backed Yes7c179.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes16c178.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No80c178.01$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Yes12c175$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed No47c166$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.981080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes17c164.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.671346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+106.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed No78c150$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes16c148.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x214d…e552backed Yes47c146.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes21c141.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes22c136.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes17c135.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.09922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes16c126$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4241339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fd…b550backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Yes40c122.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes17c119.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.426050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes18c111.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f27…fc32backed Yes26c97.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf21a…e5e6backed Yes18c96.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…1923backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c71…61b5backed Yes17c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes17c87.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9515051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes24c83.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeca7…9567backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No78c81.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9420252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x836f…e56cbacked Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Yes39c77.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No77c74.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes20c72.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8590%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes17c70.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffb…d81bbacked Yes22c69.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…1184backed Yes23c66.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes19c65.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes23c62.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0525652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9213464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes21c52.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114951%25 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35fe…95f7backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No71c41.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.997758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No74c40.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3110960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0896…5607backed Yes52c36.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd074…5a54backed No78c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e75…b009backed Yes52c28.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2923…68eebacked Yes52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1340%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3414549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dab…e5c0backed No76c23.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No71c19.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7730735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.