Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83a28ba34074b24cbb5d27c15046e1f61337ce96f6d98d1e8f52cc012a7cf22

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $101,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $81,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,579 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Yes	12c	25,634$3,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,076.13	137	38.7%53 W · 84 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Yes	18c	16,442$2,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,959.55	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No	79c	3,521$2,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.96	160	65%104 W · 56 L	+16.7wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x727d…867ebacked Yes	13c	2,257$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	22c	2,208$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.99	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed No	79c	2,116$1,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.13	145	79.3%115 W · 30 L	+17.0wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Yes	14c	2,115$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c6…f290backed Yes	19c	2,105$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No	79c	1,580$1,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.71	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+27%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes	16c	1,576$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.38	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	107	18.7%20 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	1.6%1 W · 61 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	18c	722.84$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.01	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	22c	590$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.25	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684e…9991backed Yes	19c	533.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	20%27 W · 108 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817f…01f4backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…b31cbacked Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	150	40.7%61 W · 89 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Yes	20c	516.38$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.46	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes	9c	500$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	59	62.7%37 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4362…8529backed Yes	21c	466.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes	19c	423.52$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.87	77	35.1%27 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes	18c	416.67$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Yes	15c	399.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	11c	326.71$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.35	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	318.18$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.76	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	10c	310.34$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.93	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2b2…6a3bbacked Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c7c…c2e0backed Yes	19c	285.11$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.17	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Yes	18c	272.22$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	195	53.3%104 W · 91 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes	13c	269.23$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	196	18.4%36 W · 160 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	78c	243$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.46	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes	17c	229.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x948e…44d1backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0d…4d09backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes	12c	208$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	285	45.3%129 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8638…b43bbacked Yes	20c	195.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+28%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c57…93aabacked Yes	19c	184.21$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+172.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a0d…0d74backed Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	87	20.7%18 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes	20c	175$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe2…58babacked Yes	15c	168.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes	21c	167.2$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	17c	160$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2063…92b9backed Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	154	32.5%50 W · 104 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	375	26.1%98 W · 277 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f5…c2e5backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+94.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes	11c	150$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Yes	20c	142.52$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	182	43.4%79 W · 103 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Yes	14c	141.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes	18c	140$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34eb…58c0backed Yes	19c	131.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	80c	130.4$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.08	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed Yes	20c	120$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	111	33.3%37 W · 74 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x522b…275ebacked Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	28cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf844…50d3backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e0…0ad9backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb50a…51e9backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe700…3614backed Yes	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.18per pick	26cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb3a…7b30backed Yes	14c	112.16$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70e2…5c64backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2618…f1e1backed Yes	18c	110.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.93	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9644…7eebbacked Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	28cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c76…182dbacked Yes	19c	105.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc114…5013backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc499…d8c1backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x612a…177dbacked Yes	19c	100.84$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-80.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	166	29.5%49 W · 117 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d81…8d1abacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fda…b819backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	21c	97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.38	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa126…a77bbacked Yes	14c	92.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-48%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Yes	16c	91.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	106	14.2%15 W · 91 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f4…d013backed Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8877…1fa6backed Yes	13c	90$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91a3…ea92backed Yes	19c	89.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	78c	89$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.58	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7838…3e84backed Yes	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1beb…f2a9backed Yes	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3629…9debbacked Yes	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	79c	69.64$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.85	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…ee5bbacked Yes	22c	68.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes	17c	63.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4a…1b2fbacked Yes	16c	63.19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x463d…3a99backed Yes	21c	51.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd131…eb1abacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b04…b528backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…fbb6backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed No	79c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes	21c	48.65$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 72. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event