Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 7.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x959ceda3f4c2a48b29100ce3754fb790e1583326ae6df555a7bd425bb5a77ba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 39c | 8,327$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.08 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 4c | 4,970$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Under | 60c | 4,881$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.47 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 2,031$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.36 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 62c | 802.72$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.69 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 592.62$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 44c | 545.84$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.3 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 33c | 418.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 61c | 391.94$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.08 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 61c | 369$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.09 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Over | 66c | 299.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 64c | 204$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…eb1abacked Over | 74c | 203.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 203.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 201$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 13c | 155.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 38c | 142.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Over | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 66c | 127$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 37c | 121.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +20.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 40c | 104.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 37c | 104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 53c | 94.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 38c | 94.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 40c | 78.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 40c | 49.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 38c | 45.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…10d9backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…e74ebacked Under | 61c | 34.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 61c | 32.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…3621backed Over | 70c | 28.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…3848backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 76c | 18.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 7.5 Cornersthis page
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Sweden: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.