Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf1bf7d4a576e9a6d8568b4c5f26a50fdf950f1cdd849a93d2d7b070324f4ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 32c | 1,612$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.35 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 68c | 1,136$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…5903backed Under | 5c | 549.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 63c | 396.45$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.06 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 364.38$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Over | 35c | 284.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.46 | 154 | 32.5%50 W · 104 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…cddcbacked Over | 32c | 238.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.26 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 63c | 117.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 79c | 105.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…f04abacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 62c | 95.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 64c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 60c | 83.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 83.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…5243backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…62f1backed Over | 39c | 51.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…9410backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea2…1a5fbacked Under | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…3167backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…1dadbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 62c | 38.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…e74ebacked Under | 61c | 36.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 61c | 32.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 63c | 28.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…75d4backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…f3e7backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 62c | 19.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Sweden: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.