France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x471e82554d63f08bca5a88cc20f1669df5793dc7462bc41e77435d45539942b1

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,086 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under	46c	6,284$2,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,890.6	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Over	46c	5,155$2,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,762.81	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over	54c	3,934$2,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,809.71	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under	45c	3,408$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,533.56	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	51c	2,517$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.93	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over	50c	2,200$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over	51c	1,953$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.72	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Over	54c	1,843$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.98	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Over	45c	1,839$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.19	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	50c	1,756$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.02	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	54c	1,296$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.3	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	50c	1,074$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.62	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	54c	999.99$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.99	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	51c	889.8$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.8	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under	51c	725.49$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over	53c	547.17$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.17	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under	51c	517.65$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	49c	428.66$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.75	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under	48c	361.19$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.77	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+47%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b8d…d696backed Over	54c	361$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.06	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over	52c	315.74$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.55	241	48.1%116 W · 125 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e2…bd11backed Over	56c	292.86$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.86	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	50c	271.79$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.94	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Over	50c	266.01$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.85	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	47c	264.99$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.54	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	47c	264.46$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.68	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	45c	260.12$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.28	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	285	35.8%102 W · 183 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb2…0bc2backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	50c	194.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.98	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	53c	180.15$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.31	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over	51c	172.55$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.55	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over	54c	168.52$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.52	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Over	53c	163.49$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.84	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	56c	152.02$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.42	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaae4…0dadbacked Over	54c	129.63$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.63	154	54.5%84 W · 70 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	50c	95.94$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.72	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under	39c	91.67$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.03	222	26.6%59 W · 163 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over	35c	91.4$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.21	306	42.8%131 W · 175 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb83e…9f42backed Over	54c	90.83$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.78	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	49c	89.55$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.88	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Over	46c	88.5$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.79	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	120	33.3%40 W · 80 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648b…8c77backed Over	51c	76.11$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.29	108	55.6%60 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	54c	68.86$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.18	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	52c	65.87$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.01	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c26…248ebacked Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x267e…584bbacked Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	36cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	287	47%135 W · 152 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…9410backed Under	80c	50$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.98	60	61.7%37 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Under	45c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over	38c	48.9$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.32	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Under	47c	39.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	135	47.4%64 W · 71 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ad…411abacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…0b63backed Over	46c	36.67$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.86	109	45%49 W · 60 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac3c…2796backed Over	51c	35.29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.29	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over	54c	32.56$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.98	85	60%51 W · 34 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	51c	27.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	50c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…b01fbacked Under	50c	23.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.57	144	63.2%91 W · 53 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe15…c560backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3088…c1e6backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	30cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
France vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
France vs. Sweden: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event