Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f554ee6110f45d23a8efe1a5f65c157006f1c4883229722c9c7e8077238cadc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98ce…d417backed Under | 53c | 1,991$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.13 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Under | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.98 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 53c | 1,636$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.07 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…4c93backed Over | 48c | 1,464$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…8c2bbacked Over | 46c | 1,237$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 46c | 1,052$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.9 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 54c | 998.09$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.12 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 51c | 983.96$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.14 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 47c | 926.19$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.75 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 52c | 557.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 554.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 55c | 521.27$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 52c | 480.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.46 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Over | 45c | 426.33$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 49c | 396.18$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…04fabacked Over | 48c | 302.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…41f1backed Over | 48c | 297.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 52c | 275$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 51c | 267.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Over | 49c | 240.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed Under | 52c | 226.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd842…775bbacked Over | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 56c | 169.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 41c | 169.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 266 | 46.2%123 W · 143 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 43c | 140.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…17f6backed Over | 45c | 132.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Over | 48c | 131.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 95.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 54c | 84.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…1c83backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 67.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…f422backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2218backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 53c | 37.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1843…4d11backed Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…b8bebacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 47c | 25.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Sweden: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.