Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ae6efae9a2216f79216306aa0fff2282251f1067938c508084f7275ba0a9313
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 68c | 1,818$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.62 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 30c | 773.33$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 29c | 720.74$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.2 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 702.83$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 431$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 36c | 387.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Under | 33c | 303.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…4a41backed Over | 71c | 211.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 31c | 202.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 31c | 191.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 75c | 181$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…cf36backed Over | 72c | 176$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 33c | 169.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 36c | 122.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 120.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 33c | 118.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 31c | 99.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 35c | 82.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 29c | 72.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 35c | 62.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 34c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd655…5a16backed Over | 59c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 34c | 47.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 35c | 46.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 243 | 41.2%100 W · 143 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 30c | 45.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…e9febacked Over | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 33c | 32.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…6ac6backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…cae5backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 41c | 27.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648b…8c77backed Over | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…0801backed Under | 57c | 19.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Over | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Sweden: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.