MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdf36346a7d067299d3434b134f78be09b68f77447094e6cecb863f54583c60e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof San Diego Padres, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 100,037$51,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,018.71 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 35,304$19,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,978.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 31,314$21,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,129.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 28,120$9,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,803.19 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 20,808$10,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,612.06 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 17,652$11,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.35 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 17,342$8,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844.42 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 17,171$8,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,769.86 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 15,366$8,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,394.01 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 14,381$8,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,695.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 9,930$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,064.3 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 7,004$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 5,922$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.11 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 5,310$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 4,570$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.63 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,964$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44cd…473bbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,396$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 2,499$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 2,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.89 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 2,304$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.65 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,661$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,600$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,405$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.45 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 1,325$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.4 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,190$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.65 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…03f9backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,026$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 940.84$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.36 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 918$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.66 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 753.42$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.56 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 664.43$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 655.56$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 608.88$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.53 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 570.16$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.79 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 484.1$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…c71ebacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 462.37$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 458.36$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 430$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 412.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 400.65$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9a2bbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 376.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 351.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 342.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 336.24$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 332.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 320.21$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked San Diego Padres | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 295$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 284.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Kansas City Royals | 73c | 273$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 272.06$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 250.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…8e79backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 238.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 234.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 202.17$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…215fbacked San Diego Padres | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 199.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Kansas City Royals | 71c | 198.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 184.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 177.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 176.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 165.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 153.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 140.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 139.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 136.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 133.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 143 | 72.7%104 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 129.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 122.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 114.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…4ec0backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 103.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 103.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.