NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbff9303b3e2ad5336f2d35ad769a843fd8a01ac76f360c39b79d8e2da4f5a6d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 59c | 9,050$5,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,382 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 5,139$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 3,257$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.92 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 2,813$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.54 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 1c | 1,054$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 41c | 716.42$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.12 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Under | 59c | 591.61$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 11c | 574.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 73c | 531.85$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…9e72backed Over | 41c | 360.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Under | 11c | 227$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 43c | 142.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 41c | 139.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 55c | 128.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 58c | 100.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 55c | 96.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 41c | 95.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 66c | 75.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…f2d7backed Under | 70c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 42c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 40c | 63.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e6…454ebacked Under | 60c | 59.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 58.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Over | 40c | 53.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 41c | 47.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over | 42c | 46.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 41c | 32.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 42c | 30.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…f42bbacked Under | 56c | 26.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 60c | 25.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 43c | 23.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 6.5this page
- Kraken vs. JetsJets won
- Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.