Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x351e08de3c639cd06e56dc2ec1e948e86fc035e3a5dabfa235025081e007742d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 43c | 3,723$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 71c | 2,873$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.74 | 1,111 | 43.7%486 W · 625 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,508$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 29c | 2,400$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.81 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…bd50backed No | 43c | 2,300$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 26c | 2,030$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 34c | 1,777$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.78 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked No | 28c | 1,628$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.06 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 30c | 1,581$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.53 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…226cbacked No | 22c | 1,568$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…9747backed Yes | 57c | 1,274$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed No | 49c | 1,196$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed No | 28c | 1,172$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed No | 33c | 1,020$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.57 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…2f7cbacked No | 33c | 1,019$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.38 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5813…b100backed Yes | 68c | 982.95$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 68c | 981.76$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.89 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…4f77backed No | 19c | 963.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes | 74c | 941.9$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…bd9abacked No | 26c | 889$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 22c | 872.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 64c | 860.81$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…475cbacked No | 5c | 817.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…cf16backed No | 41c | 782.88$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 42c | 773.59$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 69c | 714.37$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 65c | 671.33$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.31 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 29c | 654.33$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ac…217cbacked No | 35c | 650$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.05 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa031…fa4bbacked Yes | 67c | 622$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…7acfbacked No | 47c | 583.69$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked No | 14c | 569.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009e…47e6backed No | 34c | 564.63$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1811…789dbacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 35c | 482.07$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 22c | 444$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…a810backed Yes | 72c | 434$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…89fcbacked Yes | 68c | 431$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 28c | 429.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…4294backed No | 35c | 413$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 24c | 407.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…e3e1backed Yes | 69c | 388$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 373.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…a607backed No | 40c | 360.57$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…4690backed No | 16c | 357.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 28c | 351.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 32c | 326.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 34c | 323.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 61c | 318$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 307.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…c483backed Yes | 66c | 297$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…c079backed Yes | 72c | 286$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c4…d7ecbacked No | 18c | 282.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 348 | 39.1%136 W · 212 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…f40bbacked No | 30c | 268.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…77b1backed No | 5c | 261.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 68c | 258.61$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes | 64c | 247.37$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…113dbacked No | 22c | 246.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…d09abacked No | 20c | 246.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 34c | 235$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…4099backed Yes | 76c | 227.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 30c | 217.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 58c | 212.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…1640backed Yes | 63c | 212$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 37c | 205.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…b50ebacked No | 15c | 203.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f50…bf87backed Yes | 49c | 202.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…c2d1backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 64c | 184$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 27c | 179.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…51a7backed No | 15c | 178$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf944…c249backed Yes | 12c | 165.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…73e6backed Yes | 74c | 162.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…4891backed No | 18c | 155.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…bd48backed No | 39c | 153$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…d9f0backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…7e79backed Yes | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 76c | 143.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 141.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked No | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…5d76backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…ef89backed No | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…5160backed Yes | 71c | 135.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Yes | 71c | 134.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 38c | 131$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…afd0backed Yes | 76c | 129.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3934…8352backed Yes | 72c | 128.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…5dbdbacked No | 47c | 120.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…f4a1backed No | 35c | 119$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 38c | 116$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 68c | 114$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…f3c7backed Yes | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5a83backed No | 26c | 106.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…70e5backed Yes | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 48c | 105.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…d758backed Yes | 76c | 103.62$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…9637backed Yes | 74c | 102.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?this page
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of January?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of January?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of January?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of January?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of January?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of January?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of January?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of January?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of January?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of January?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.