NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf43fe45cc87714eb04467c8fc1e3583afcdee16fb929af6412c162d351de3d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Kings, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kings | 31c | 260.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Predators | 69c | 233.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 31c | 231.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 16c | 186.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Predators | 68c | 184.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Predators | 71c | 166.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Kings | 29c | 162.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Kings | 29c | 103.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Predators | 71c | 89.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kings | 15c | 82.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators | 69c | 74.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Predators | 71c | 70.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c4a6backed Kings | 15c | 69.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 46cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…a4e7backed Kings | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Kings | 31c | 53.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Predators | 71c | 49.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d65…c693backed Predators | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Predators | 79c | 34.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Kings | 30c | 33.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Predators | 71c | 32.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Predators | 71c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Predators | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Predators | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Predators | 71c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Predators | 71c | 17.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. KingsPredators won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.