NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30db97a29fc224051914e071b5c44dbcdf1ed489ec1e03f07a150077ddfaba3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Over | 52c | 4,038$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.51 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,795$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 2,736$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.51 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.55 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 48c | 2,000$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.4 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Under | 48c | 1,260$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.79 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 619.23$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.23 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 415.85$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.85 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 257.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 52c | 237.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 52c | 237.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…b1b7backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 171.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 52c | 152.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 50c | 150.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Under | 48c | 148.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 52c | 121.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 113.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 86.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 80.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 65.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 50c | 61.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 52c | 48.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 51c | 47.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 37c | 44.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Over | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 53c | 32.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…d60abacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 30.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…3143backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. KingsPredators won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.