Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x005304fe6028606fd4b00d44620637e452e7ba17774e8fe2605af3011b91e5b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 16,426$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,112.17 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 4,534$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.71 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Under | 56c | 4,254$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 2,111$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.84 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 2,017$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.33 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 1,840$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.74 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 49c | 1,480$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.21 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 1,440$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.28 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 1,423$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.05 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 1,034$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Under | 7c | 712.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 57c | 521.8$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 56c | 487.76$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 7c | 356.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Under | 58c | 341.89$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 44c | 286.85$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 48c | 216.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 44c | 198.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Under | 57c | 173.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 44c | 135.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 55c | 119.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 44c | 103.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 44c | 78.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Under | 56c | 63.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Over | 45c | 61.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Over | 45c | 57.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 57.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 45c | 55.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 55c | 52.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 57c | 40.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 56c | 39.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 52c | 34.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Under | 58c | 34.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 43c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 25.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 48c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 55c | 21.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 55c | 20.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 134.5this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 132.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 133.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.