Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 133.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba978a39fcf0d26ed829586bb298436857afd7d125d8116b3d1d78626f1986d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 17,495$8,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,306.84 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 53c | 7,455$3,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.15 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 5,559$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.43 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 5,444$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.36 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 2,675$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.93 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 54c | 758.4$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.54 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over | 47c | 360.03$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.81 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 321.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 47c | 309.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Under | 53c | 275.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under | 55c | 225.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Under | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 45c | 156.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 55c | 128.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 47c | 110.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 109.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 46c | 86.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 78.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 46c | 64.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 54c | 64.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Over | 46c | 64.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 47c | 52.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 50.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 41.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Over | 49c | 26.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 26.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 46c | 24.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 24.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 46c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 133.5this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 132.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 134.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.