TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under1c67,028$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.7425145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under48c30,235$14,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,512.698148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9978155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c19,825$10,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,516.1324451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c18,098$8,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,687.2884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over52c10,520$5,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,049.743855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Under50c9,792$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.784551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c6,337$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.952,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under49c4,046$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.5123243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under49c3,790$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.272646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c2,884$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.392,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over51c2,417$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.1789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c1,838$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.621145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over52c1,760$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.764348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…5d49backed Under49c1,700$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4b…37a5backed Under49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a9…c3fdbacked Under49c1,534$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3903…7731backed Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf219…3776backed Over51c1,489$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5526…9318backed Under49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under49c1,397$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.65060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7170…b959backed Under49c1,300$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3721…1903backed Under49c1,300$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc88…1bfcbacked Over51c1,222$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d9…7e2ebacked Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8a…c8d6backed Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fda…2b1cbacked Under49c1,189$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c1,115$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.9414447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4580…94f8backed Under49c1,097$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under49c1,097$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.416341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x064c…34dcbacked Under49c1,092$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,043$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4118744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over52c1,042$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Under48c1,033$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.633240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…e0efbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under4c999.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.262,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Under47c992.95$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.695437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Under49c985.19$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.744360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Under49c985.19$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.744656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c923.45$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.493,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Under49c911.95$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.855552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb793…2a18backed Under49c903.79$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c859.44$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.941,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89f…0034backed Under49c843.7$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd21d…c529backed Under49c843.7$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…b23ebacked Under49c831.94$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc1…f56cbacked Under49c780.7$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c619.54$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3824847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under48c541.93$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.135149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over51c485.91$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.11118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-65.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b7b…7ce4backed Under49c480.7$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Over53c474.51$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.021957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under49c462.74$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7418048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under48c413.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e09…1088backed Under48c413.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5225…5732backed Under48c361.63$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.58560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under50c355.51$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.765350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over52c321.17$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.161250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under49c293.33$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.735350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…7012backed Under49c280.7$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Over52c232.72$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Under48c206.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Under48c165.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.33348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under12c159.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.475,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f8c…75b8backed Over51c145.71$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c144.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.024944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52b…62ffbacked Over51c124.9$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over75c120.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6360551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c118.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.160548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c110.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.035,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a3…dc96backed Over51c103.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb8…5703backed Over51c99.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Under50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over53c93.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9511741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Over52c84.16$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under48c81.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2269350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Over60c78.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.638460.7%51 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under48c72.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6949849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under49c60.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8830050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under49c60.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6332850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over62c59.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6110755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c1…8f55backed Over51c59.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2fc…47babacked Over51c58.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Over51c58.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.575944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60f1…177cbacked Over51c57.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8763…57ddbacked Over51c57.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d9…1adabacked Over51c56.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e8…5ee9backed Over51c56.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca13…a3eebacked Over51c56.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23d2…5f41backed Over51c55.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+229.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbbd…dc4abacked Over51c55.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec80…cccabacked Over51c54.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a22…e989backed Over51c54.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c54.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0250…1558backed Over51c53.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.