TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over47c4,437$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.542729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d3…080fbacked Under53c4,369$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over50c3,699$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.614348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c3,233$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.1715858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c3,165$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.3146246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over51c2,265$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.2817643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c1,585$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.222,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c1,445$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c1,121$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.385,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under49c809.19$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.693369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Under60c667.48$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.455437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c594.77$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.113,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over51c588$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.695743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Over51c499.13$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.553336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under49c485.51$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.613357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c467.66$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c436.15$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over51c411.08$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8385248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over49c388.11$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.873435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x868a…b79bbacked Under53c366.77$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.38450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under49c343.9$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.391650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x195d…9124backed Under53c327.12$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c315.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7925145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under49c303.44$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.762330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa57c…25dcbacked Under53c297.38$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under49c275.57$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.547258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under50c258.72$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3622954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under49c258.63$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.931448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Under49c257.85$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under49c253.76$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.425959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c250.02$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5192246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under49c244.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.843177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under48c223.91$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.436261.3%38 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Under49c218.08$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.221050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under51c200.77$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4920642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under53c198.26$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.181,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Under49c198.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.11742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under49c197.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.65660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under49c186.36$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.045457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under50c183.38$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.696152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2512054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under49c149.68$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.347354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under50c148.69$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Under49c141.61$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.223348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Under49c130.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.363375.8%25 W · 8 L+8.0wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under49c129.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.234961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under66c129.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.964,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under50c105.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5422043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under49c104.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.084252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ba…0b74backed Under49c101.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.591471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7310…2b8fbacked Under49c101.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.59475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under49c100.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.062650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd91…3d37backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under52c96.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.112458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Over54c93.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.369256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c89.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7130152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Under49c81.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.452882.1%23 W · 5 L+7.5wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+48.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Under49c80.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.272157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked Under49c71.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.44065%26 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under48c69.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.086654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c60.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe725…2b00backed Under49c60.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under48c56.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.594959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under49c55.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.377655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over46c55.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3252843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed Under49c54.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under50c54.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.266056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under49c52.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.822875%21 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9722…3e81backed Under49c52.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over51c52.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7922756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.784443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c48.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.988246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Under49c47.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.452462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over52c47.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.783554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under54c44.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.363928.2%11 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed Under49c43.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.243770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Under49c43.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.241181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+48.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb49…21b1backed Under49c43.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.241369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c36…d272backed Over50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Over52c38.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over52c38.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8331057.4%178 W · 132 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5422backed Under49c36.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.572864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under63c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.329254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over51c29.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1719454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Over54c29.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.86922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-58.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Under52c29.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.017157.7%41 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfc3…ba8ebacked Under49c28.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under49c28.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6622656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Under49c28.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.661770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Under50c28.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.371457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a62…138bbacked Over50c27.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-76.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4cf…9332backed Under49c25.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6137…171ebacked Under54c24.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-41.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c24.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.419958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under52c22.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.73246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over52c22.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.511330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.613457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Over51c19.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11166.3%1 W · 15 L-7.1wins-0.44per pick51cpaid-88%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.