TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Islanders, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$499,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1925…4654backed Islanders32c214,336$67,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,625.2511644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Hurricanes70c93,596$65,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,760.9515054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hurricanes68c35,469$24,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,350.5259450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes68c32,708$22,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,512.942,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Islanders29c30,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7001,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hurricanes69c22,820$15,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,074.248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hurricanes69c18,000$12,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6701,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hurricanes68c14,200$9,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,544.2441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Hurricanes70c12,089$8,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Hurricanes71c12,000$8,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes68c10,697$7,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.822,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Hurricanes67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3005350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Hurricanes45c9,995$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,497.271861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Islanders29c7,500$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.9751045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Islanders31c7,297$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.0510938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Islanders30c7,000$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Islanders26c7,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Hurricanes63c5,846$3,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.2827448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders40c5,126$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.271,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Islanders22c5,119$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.2410941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Islanders30c5,000$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.4624945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Islanders31c4,808$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.3438849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Hurricanes70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Islanders30c4,000$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Islanders30c4,000$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.9843548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Islanders31c3,500$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08527547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Islanders30c3,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9727850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Islanders30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Hurricanes69c3,231$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.616758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes69c3,136$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.571,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Islanders30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9009751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Hurricanes69c2,940$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.8945955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Islanders30c2,800$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8405230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders29c2,762$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.041,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes70c2,634$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.0361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders46c2,548$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.893,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Hurricanes75c2,433$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.9630259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Islanders30c2,403$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.2776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hurricanes68c2,217$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.371,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hurricanes68c2,169$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.131848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes68c2,058$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.751,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes74c1,925$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.531,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Islanders14c1,850$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4215057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Islanders48c1,839$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.0552172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Islanders55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e4c…28ddbacked Islanders34c1,800$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6122045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Islanders32c1,710$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.199038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Hurricanes52c1,652$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.5513547.4%64 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes77c1,518$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Hurricanes69c1,500$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hurricanes68c1,483$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.561,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Islanders30c1,400$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41645749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Hurricanes59c1,376$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.7757157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Hurricanes78c1,275$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9916446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Hurricanes67c1,155$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.6836349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Islanders46c1,084$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.2933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Islanders6c1,061$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9733234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Hurricanes71c1,056$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed Hurricanes47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Islanders26c1,000$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3665721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Islanders30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30062249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hurricanes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Islanders31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31013445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Hurricanes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Islanders29c999.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9932451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hurricanes68c998.94$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8666552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Islanders54c897.5$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.431,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Islanders53c894.59$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.31,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Hurricanes51c882.35$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.3547256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Hurricanes47c858.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5119141.9%80 W · 111 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hurricanes69c848.23$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.931,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes52c847.56$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.892,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Islanders14c841$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.547047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Islanders30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509051.1%46 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Hurricanes53c753.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5636948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Hurricanes68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2409659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Hurricanes69c749$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.249350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…e0fbbacked Islanders33c739.85$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.152245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked Islanders30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Islanders32c675.31$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8514638.4%56 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Islanders55c666.67$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1737754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Hurricanes69c650$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.511243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1400…1ce7backed Islanders17c647.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.083537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Hurricanes69c643.09$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4529448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hurricanes69c632.96$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2419150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Hurricanes68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19232150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Islanders29c599.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9932648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Islanders44c596.14$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4651949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hurricanes68c569.29$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2818853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Islanders40c566$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.059231.5%29 W · 63 L-12.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Hurricanes69c556.97$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8114062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes71c555$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1a…4f77backed Islanders30c514.57$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3738645.1%174 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Hurricanes72c505.42$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.298060%48 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Islanders31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15549249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Hurricanes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1453447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Hurricanes67c499.97$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9938555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebdf…49aebacked Hurricanes71c497$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.134944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.