NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8b50b5209e40f64648fb42c5ec5ffc6000ad52d5704bca8bd44273dbc4b1a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Hurricanes, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Hurricanes | 49c | 5,136$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.56 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Islanders | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 52c | 2,168$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Hurricanes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Hurricanes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Hurricanes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Hurricanes | 47c | 753.89$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.29 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Hurricanes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Islanders | 51c | 280.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Islanders | 53c | 267.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Islanders | 53c | 267.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Hurricanes | 48c | 241.72$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…a08abacked Hurricanes | 47c | 205.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Hurricanes | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Islanders | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes | 38c | 171.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Islanders | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hurricanes | 49c | 162.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Hurricanes | 49c | 160.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Islanders | 60c | 149.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hurricanes | 50c | 135.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hurricanes | 31c | 107.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…f5efbacked Islanders | 52c | 97.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 70c | 96.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b84…87b4backed Hurricanes | 49c | 94.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Islanders | 51c | 90.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Hurricanes | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 65.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hurricanes | 26c | 57.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Hurricanes | 22c | 56.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Hurricanes | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Islanders | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Islanders | 51c | 43.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 68c | 42.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Islanders | 51c | 41.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Hurricanes | 48c | 40.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Hurricanes | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Hurricanes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Hurricanes | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Hurricanes | 41c | 29.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Islanders | 53c | 28.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Islanders | 52c | 27.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Islanders | 57c | 25.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Islanders | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hurricanes | 69c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Islanders vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.