NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75da3bd232911b477a56effb20d4c6501f093624d1b8bd5d0ff93e52d02050d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5a…e0c0backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Over | 51c | 1,992$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.38 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 16c | 1,225$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 965.54$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.39 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 856.66$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 49c | 549.59$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.49 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 549.52$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.46 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 18c | 447.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 270.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 58c | 205.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 15c | 201.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 193$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 168.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 54c | 159.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 10c | 133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 109.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 22c | 65.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 55.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 63c | 51.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 22c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Over | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 28.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 54c | 24.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48f…8eb7backed Over | 52c | 19.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 68c | 18.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 63c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Islanders vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.