Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41978edfccb79f26481d6b53bac4afb6cd70a206d00c3b8bc079df0fc1978145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc5…61fdbacked Yes | 6c | 17,323$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 66c | 10,477$6,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.2 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…6d8fbacked No | 74c | 8,908$6,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 30c | 6,863$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.83 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 14c | 6,102$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,685$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 46c | 4,963$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.39 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 49c | 4,797$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.33 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9894…1b90backed Yes | 44c | 4,548$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 51c | 4,114$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…fa3dbacked Yes | 32c | 3,802$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 4c | 3,532$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dea…ec31backed Yes | 6c | 3,192$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6107…6d97backed Yes | 33c | 2,990$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 38c | 2,914$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.94 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…2b04backed Yes | 30c | 2,334$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 21c | 2,313$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.73 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…30d0backed Yes | 5c | 2,262$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…4e48backed Yes | 2c | 2,248$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…bb25backed Yes | 4c | 2,232$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…7e8cbacked No | 38c | 1,887$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…665bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,725$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…123ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,664$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 20c | 1,565$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.94 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…264dbacked No | 35c | 1,534$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,498$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.05 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 68c | 1,423$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…3321backed No | 36c | 1,396$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 1,288$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…82b5backed No | 58c | 1,273$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 41c | 1,211$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.13 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…7547backed Yes | 8c | 1,199$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…8f68backed Yes | 2c | 1,072$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…1009backed No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 58c | 974.31$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked No | 77c | 939.61$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…bd75backed Yes | 76c | 906.16$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 40c | 904.66$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 47c | 862.79$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.79 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb43…b10abacked Yes | 58c | 745.05$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1511…ce9fbacked No | 72c | 694.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 43c | 654.94$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.89 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…eed3backed Yes | 64c | 643.55$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 43c | 585.67$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 30c | 585.55$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.61 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…ddadbacked Yes | 52c | 581.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 554.58$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…6c64backed No | 67c | 549.4$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…60cdbacked No | 64c | 529.31$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171e…6141backed Yes | 21c | 510.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed Yes | 66c | 500$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 58c | 484.18$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1354backed Yes | 4c | 483.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…35d1backed Yes | 4c | 444.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…8cbabacked Yes | 68c | 439.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 14c | 433.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 70c | 429.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2216…4accbacked Yes | 6c | 423.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…eef3backed No | 36c | 417.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…32a2backed Yes | 9c | 414.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c2…aa80backed Yes | 4c | 407.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314b…209bbacked Yes | 4c | 396.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cca…aa4ebacked Yes | 13c | 390.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 36c | 388.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a71…3c62backed No | 69c | 381.64$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 4c | 371.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…159cbacked Yes | 55c | 366.84$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 35c | 363.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.06 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 52c | 343.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.84 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…0bdbbacked Yes | 6c | 311.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…4366backed Yes | 19c | 310.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed Yes | 12c | 304.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…b557backed Yes | 68c | 300$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes | 69c | 300$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…c5e0backed No | 32c | 298.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 7c | 296$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…37aebacked Yes | 7c | 295.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Yes | 36c | 278.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…4e0abacked Yes | 11c | 275.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…adc5backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…6f76backed Yes | 7c | 269.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…1901backed No | 56c | 266.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 61c | 264.42$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…9c46backed No | 47c | 257.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked Yes | 40c | 254.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed No | 33c | 250.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +705.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…1459backed No | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…a8abbacked Yes | 29c | 238.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked No | 36c | 235.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…4d83backed Yes | 58c | 233.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…d39ebacked Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55df…e4e6backed No | 41c | 211.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…ff7bbacked No | 46c | 207.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…cc2cbacked No | 68c | 206.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 47c | 202.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…b47abacked Yes | 10c | 195.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b7…c654backed Yes | 11c | 193.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1657backed Yes | 7c | 183.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5366…73aabacked Yes | 59c | 183.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.