NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bdd98a3dfaf84636f74e43943a4f2c7461409d1917e8854133b22ac03ab5079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Cavaliers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 67,842$37,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,083.01 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 46c | 27,509$12,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,927.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Warriors | 47c | 15,696$7,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,318.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Warriors | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 45c | 9,376$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156.55 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 46c | 8,339$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,537.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Warriors | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 45c | 4,894$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.46 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,887$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.22 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 47c | 3,607$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Warriors | 46c | 3,295$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.37 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Warriors | 47c | 3,090$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.7 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,766$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.3 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Warriors | 50c | 2,396$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.93 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,253$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.3 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 55c | 1,684$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,601$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.54 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.78 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 45c | 1,244$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.2 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 55c | 1,243$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.79 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 912.38$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.97 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 45c | 904.6$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cavaliers | 54c | 899.06$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.21 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Cavaliers | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cavaliers | 40c | 865.56$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 45c | 767.1$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.59 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Warriors | 69c | 676.18$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Cavaliers | 52c | 641.59$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.63 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Warriors | 47c | 530$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Warriors | 47c | 516.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Warriors | 46c | 504.1$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Warriors | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 45c | 492.39$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Warriors | 47c | 477.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.73 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Warriors | 46c | 476.79$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.47 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 46c | 454.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Warriors | 46c | 396.68$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.03 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 330.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -11.3wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Cavaliers | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Warriors | 46c | 271.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warriors | 46c | 257.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Warriors | 47c | 253.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Warriors | 65c | 248.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Warriors | 45c | 244.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Cavaliers | 52c | 230.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…0e59backed Cavaliers | 54c | 212.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Cavaliers | 53c | 204.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Cavaliers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 45c | 196$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Cavaliers | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Cavaliers | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 183.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cavaliers | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Cavaliers | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers | 49c | 149.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Cavaliers | 60c | 130.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Cavaliers | 52c | 114.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 47c | 112.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Warriors | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 100.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…c1bebacked Warriors | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Cavaliers | 54c | 96.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Cavaliers | 55c | 91.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Cavaliers | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Cavaliers | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Cavaliers | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Cavaliers | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Cavaliers | 53c | 86.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Warriors | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Warriors | 46c | 79.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Cavaliers | 46c | 78.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Cavaliers | 35c | 78.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Warriors | 54c | 75.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Warriors | 52c | 70.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Warriors | 54c | 69.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 55c | 66.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 60.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Warriors | 46c | 57.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Warriors | 48c | 56.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Cavaliers | 54c | 55.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Cavaliers | 53c | 53.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 51.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Warriors | 65c | 50.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Warriors | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…d1f3backed Cavaliers | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Warriors | 49c | 49.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Warriors | 67c | 49.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Warriors | 47c | 48.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Cavaliers | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Warriors | 46c | 44.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Cavaliers | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Warriors | 48c | 42.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. WarriorsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.