NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf36f2f32f3ac3e41f5e46c1ccb2bfc3d100d470c9bbe642e7a76be0616c0aef4

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $139,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $147,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,593 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	24,524$11,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,852.95	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under	46c	22,139$10,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,186.45	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over	51c	21,989$11,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,674.4	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over	51c	12,313$6,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,033.51	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over	54c	11,281$6,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,189.48	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899.99	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	50c	9,286$4,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,642.91	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over	53c	9,176$4,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,317.3	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under	45c	8,155$3,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,669.82	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba12…6a47backed Under	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.98	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Under	49c	4,748$2,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,326.56	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	129	45.7%59 W · 70 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under	50c	2,534$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	50c	2,516$1,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,258.09	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	53c	2,236$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,058.9	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under	48c	2,205$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.39	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	49c	2,199$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.15	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	51c	1,941$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$948.48	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	52c	1,809$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.3	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	41c	1,630$674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.15	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	54c	1,513$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.01	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	50c	985.87$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.11	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	52c	941.08$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.61	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	52c	747.08$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.6	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under	50c	734.17$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.08	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-5.1wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under	47c	720.39$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.3	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	71c	699.61$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	53c	660.94$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.87	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	51c	627.17$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.31	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	48c	588$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.24	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under	50c	555$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.5	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefdf…677bbacked Over	55c	506.74$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.79	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over	51c	475.78$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.13	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	26c	441.52$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.74	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under	49c	420.36$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.89	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Over	51c	380.63$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.51	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+3.8wins	+0.30per pick	55cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb00f…e0e9backed Over	51c	323.53$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.53	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under	48c	305$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.4	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	108	54.6%59 W · 49 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under	48c	299.99$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.99	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over	52c	280.52$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.85	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	224.27$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.19	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	54c	200.97$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.61	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	51c	190.31$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over	51c	190.31$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over	51c	190.31$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	17c	190.26$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.89	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	53c	183.36$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under	48c	180$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	49c	178.42$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.24	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over	51c	171.28$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.93	267	55.1%147 W · 120 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over	51c	155$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.95	267	45.3%121 W · 146 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	49c	154.14$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.57	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	53c	141.22$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.95	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	45c	133.78$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.76	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	48c	118.85$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under	45c	116$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over	51c	98.96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.49	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over	50c	98.94$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.47	477	38.2%182 W · 295 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under	49c	98.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.47	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	44c	98.72$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.19	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over	51c	95.16$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.63	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over	52c	93.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	146	49.3%72 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under	45c	92$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.58	404	40.1%162 W · 242 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over	53c	91.68$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.09	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under	48c	81.54$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.25	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under	48c	80.42$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.44	229	42.8%98 W · 131 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	50c	78.08$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.04	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Under	51c	76.87$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over	52c	74.71$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.86	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	29c	73.95$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.78	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	45c	71.24$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.06	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over	53c	66.01$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.02	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-7.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	49c	60.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.15	410	38%156 W · 254 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Under	42c	60$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Under	48c	59.36$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	51c	56$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.39	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	46c	54.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.29	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Under	49c	54.03$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.48	96	58.3%56 W · 40 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over	29c	51.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.97	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x051a…54c6backed Over	57c	51.07$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Over	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb7…d873backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	122	45.9%56 W · 66 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	56c	48.68$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf89…8ac3backed Over	52c	48.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.31	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over	51c	48.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.78	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under	51c	47.23$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.27	174	59.2%103 W · 71 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Over	53c	46.65$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.92	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over	41c	46.63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.33	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da7…762abacked Over	55c	43.1$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over	50c	39.39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.89	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over	51c	38.83$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.83	319	53%169 W · 150 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over	52c	37.35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.93	355	51.3%182 W · 173 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Over	52c	37.35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.93	73	54.8%40 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	49c	35.8$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. WarriorsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Under won
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5No won
Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Warriors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Warriors won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event