NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8035c9a780d179aa22a65b7f0705ae0b00526b2d026c6b9c3d4a6d251cacd564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 52c | 40,254$20,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,932.34 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 48c | 29,193$14,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,181.68 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 27,445$13,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,722.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 48c | 23,100$11,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,020.67 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 13,041$6,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,520.34 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 4,815$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.97 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Over | 52c | 4,800$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 4,065$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.8 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 3c | 2,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 50c | 2,425$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 2,192$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.07 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Over | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 52c | 1,604$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.96 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 1,322$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 51c | 1,133$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.69 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.09 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Under | 48c | 944.6$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Over | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Under | 50c | 883.48$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.74 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 863.83$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.56 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 862.58$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.29 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 820.23$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.62 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 49c | 784$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…3464backed Under | 70c | 778.47$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 697.59$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.55 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…d963backed Over | 49c | 598.1$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under | 50c | 563.16$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.87 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 74c | 549.58$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 6c | 525$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 25c | 385.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 10c | 352$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 31c | 309.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 294.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.48 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 50c | 274.43$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 14c | 267.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…491bbacked Under | 74c | 250.85$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Over | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 42c | 233.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over | 51c | 216.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 52c | 214.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 186.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 73c | 162.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 153.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 51c | 152.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Over | 16c | 148.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 148.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Under | 65c | 139.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…8720backed Under | 57c | 125.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 52c | 123.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 115.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 60c | 114.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…be37backed Under | 73c | 112.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 50c | 100.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under | 50c | 97.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 14c | 97.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 36c | 92.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 64c | 90.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 26c | 71.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 66.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 60c | 65.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 65c | 64.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 53c | 60.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 53c | 59.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 55.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Over | 53c | 54.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 55c | 54.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Under | 66c | 53.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 31c | 52.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 51c | 49.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…a0efbacked Over | 49c | 47.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 46.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 40c | 44.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 55c | 42.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 78c | 39.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 51c | 39.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 37.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 51c | 36.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…9eacbacked Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd46…2a7dbacked Under | 71c | 34.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bc…2904backed Under | 76c | 31.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 30.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 49c | 30.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…decabacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…3269backed Under | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 60c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +11.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Under | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…ffb0backed Under | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. WarriorsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.