Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04af67e0ee8a74f6f2d615e27b4ec8fc44a912529fc658b67fc5ed723c55ca4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 0c | 67,561$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Yes | 0c | 35,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 13c | 19,025$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.71 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 5c | 14,901$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.23 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…41c6backed Yes | 14c | 11,595$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 8c | 11,397$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.03 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,887$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…a7e9backed Yes | 0c | 7,915$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…3600backed Yes | 26c | 7,823$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed No | 80c | 7,757$6,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.96 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 26c | 6,952$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.97 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 0c | 6,658$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…7be2backed Yes | 1c | 6,537$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,528$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,224$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 1c | 5,044$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Yes | 1c | 4,934$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,232$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 79c | 3,619$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.67 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 3,610$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 14c | 3,206$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.32 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 73c | 3,047$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.75 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 2,669$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 22c | 2,235$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 25c | 2,209$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.24 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 8c | 1,772$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,375$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.79 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 77c | 1,300$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…c7e7backed Yes | 26c | 1,128$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…06babacked Yes | 16c | 1,068$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 75c | 1,005$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 21c | 899.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…cc6bbacked Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 24c | 689$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…fcc4backed Yes | 2c | 654.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes | 6c | 653.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 25c | 652.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…c6c6backed No | 75c | 599.99$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…5e5bbacked Yes | 26c | 577.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…fc80backed Yes | 9c | 452.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…aee2backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…fadfbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked No | 40c | 397.08$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.06 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17fdbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…58f0backed Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d7…c16bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…3e88backed Yes | 28c | 363.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde11…051abacked Yes | 28c | 360.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 24c | 351.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…4d07backed Yes | 23c | 339$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…744fbacked Yes | 58c | 329.2$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…b5c7backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…7417backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…3650backed No | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af7…5d3bbacked Yes | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…b8cfbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…e8c0backed No | 64c | 215.43$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…747fbacked No | 47c | 214.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992c…0523backed Yes | 25c | 212.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 68c | 211.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 5c | 201.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…da0cbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…7e78backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4700…41cebacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed No | 77c | 197.75$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…0ed7backed Yes | 24c | 158.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ea…fd6abacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…458abacked No | 40c | 152.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…7f60backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 137.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…39b5backed Yes | 26c | 133$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…b39bbacked Yes | 22c | 127.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…94b6backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…a93cbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3897…5120backed Yes | 26c | 113.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…8085backed Yes | 26c | 108.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…618dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…1a98backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc3…40eebacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…c853backed Yes | 26c | 94.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9a…7f51backed Yes | 28c | 85.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…6c18backed Yes | 67c | 82.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae5b…ab1bbacked Yes | 27c | 80.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 34c | 78.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…f4a3backed Yes | 26c | 67.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a1…3201backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…427ebacked Yes | 27c | 54.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…97babacked No | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 67c | 51.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,700 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.