TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcbd1…e0cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$495.24
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$116.21
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$83.35
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$50.94
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$164.61
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$126.09
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+234.7%+$234.75
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.72
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$43.92
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.74
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.65
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.28
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.7%+$9.36
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.6%+$30.78
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$81.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$39.1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+104.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$104.62
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$390.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.