World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb4eb908098e25f5f1a04a998a85bd2b2ed89d2720fc9bc7eaad48508f35da2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6201…a173backed Yes | 11c | 2,362$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9365backed Yes | 60c | 1,668$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 43c | 990.54$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.66 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 52c | 869.75$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 44c | 697.8$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.77 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 45c | 620.75$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 45c | 612.12$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.82 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 31c | 599.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.52 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 51c | 591.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.66 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 49c | 531.68$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…c0d2backed Yes | 50c | 500.01$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 48c | 405.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 361.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 48c | 353.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.1 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 350.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked No | 80c | 304.96$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 76c | 292.96$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 45c | 260.82$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 248.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 52c | 245.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 44c | 244.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 40c | 242.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 62c | 238.02$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.57 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 45c | 222.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…daeebacked Yes | 52c | 217.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…96bdbacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 51c | 208.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 49c | 199.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 185$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 49c | 181.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 178.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 32c | 174.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed Yes | 61c | 162.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 50c | 159.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 38c | 156$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…c595backed Yes | 65c | 154.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 43c | 151.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 66c | 151.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…f2a7backed Yes | 66c | 151.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 47c | 148.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 33c | 142.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 59c | 141.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 41c | 140.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 46c | 140.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 50c | 137.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 50c | 135.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…d779backed Yes | 68c | 131.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 64c | 129.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 44c | 114.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 48c | 113.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 62c | 112.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 34c | 112.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 38c | 111$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…0ab0backed Yes | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 50c | 108.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 107.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…8487backed No | 49c | 102.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 22c | 100.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 38c | 99.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 51c | 97.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 35c | 97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 50c | 90.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…0003backed Yes | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 86.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…7a7dbacked Yes | 63c | 84.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 52c | 82.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…00a0backed Yes | 61c | 81.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 59c | 79.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked Yes | 69c | 78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd24…f9d6backed Yes | 65c | 77.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 40c | 72.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 56c | 70.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 64c | 69.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 66c | 68.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked No | 47c | 66.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 44c | 66.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Yes | 62c | 64.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…d7ebbacked No | 64c | 62.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 44c | 62.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 36c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 45c | 60.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…a422backed Yes | 36c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Yes | 54c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 44c | 56.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 42c | 55.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed Yes | 65c | 53.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 50c | 52.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.