TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs50c16,633$8,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,347.0510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks51c10,934$5,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,303.471,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs39c8,589$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.976,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks55c7,999$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.6328056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks61c7,462$4,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.8225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs45c7,210$3,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8256…3600backed Knicks61c6,486$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Spurs39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95019937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs45c3,635$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.532,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x246e…9556backed Knicks56c3,534$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks52c3,224$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.8964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Spurs40c3,220$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28880%0 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks51c3,068$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.7293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs47c2,000$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.682,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks60c1,685$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.9352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Knicks61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.342171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks56c1,629$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs29c1,485$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.6153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks56c1,258$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.511,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks50c1,185$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.64355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef98…68f7backed Knicks55c1,027$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.8356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs34c987$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.581,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Knicks61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Knicks47c800.53$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.538641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Spurs66c752.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs38c723.33$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.8730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Spurs38c709.74$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.72441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Knicks47c625.53$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.533946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks51c620.28$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Knicks51c547$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.34151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks60c499.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs47c497.93$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.711,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks61c495.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7113161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs9c485.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.111,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Knicks62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd56c…bdd5backed Spurs58c474.14$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb79…30c1backed Spurs22c464.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Spurs40c441.69$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.143948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks60c433.92$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.571,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Spurs3c433.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1317946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs39c419.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks49c413.8$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4919548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb6e…2225backed Knicks54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Knicks54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1849438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs56c388.56$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.761,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Knicks56c367.18$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.573053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs29c350.71$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Spurs38c349.42$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.781346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs40c346.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.75349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs46c330.08$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2332654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks52c310$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Knicks52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Spurs45c248.89$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11245445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ed…7f85backed Knicks61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.92060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs39c211.62$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.011,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255e…5456backed Knicks48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37df…f8b9backed Knicks49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs50c192.46$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4325340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Knicks52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3113037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs42c188.54$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs45c188$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks74c185$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Knicks55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8218853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks51c169.87$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2418140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Knicks59c168.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1310757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks62c156.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks52c152$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks57c141.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0612150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks60c138.2$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.071,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1092…9cfabacked Knicks55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.365257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Knicks45c132$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.63946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x541e…b57abacked Knicks50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Spurs33c129.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.953046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs39c126.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.461,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks53c115.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.711,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Knicks62c110.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.96347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Spurs50c106$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7305…0c7bbacked Knicks55c102.22$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.226100%6 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+223.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks77c101.22$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Spurs51c98.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed Knicks52c98.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.125100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71a3…d2e4backed Knicks51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+154.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88d4…2e6bbacked Knicks62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Knicks56c88.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.258846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs45c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.616429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs61c83.89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Knicks62c80.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9990957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaae…232dbacked Knicks64c76.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed Spurs40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3090%0 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Spurs48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks53c71.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.771,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Knicks57c70.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.471154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Spurs19c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2236045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Knicks52c69.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.235347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Spurs51c66.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks43c66.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3622753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Knicks64c65.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.672532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Knicks61c63.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9333249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks34c61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9827245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.