Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99eaa9ab123d92bc6abe48b19567eaa1b1a3eca725bc1fec4b274c6769d181a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $732,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 15c | 150,251$22,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,540.12 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 14c | 58,859$8,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,240.27 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 7c | 50,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 14c | 33,137$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.35 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 4c | 27,074$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.63 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 25,257$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.89 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 16,463$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.51 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 15c | 11,733$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 6,883$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.98 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 16c | 4,760$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 8c | 4,021$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.43 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 75c | 3,987$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.65 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 15c | 3,843$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.27 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 16c | 3,750$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 17c | 3,050$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 16c | 3,027$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.26 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 15c | 2,464$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.54 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 11c | 2,126$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 10c | 1,330$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 19c | 1,231$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +63%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 4c | 1,118$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 17c | 1,104$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.59 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 17c | 1,047$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.31 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 21c | 1,005$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 15c | 999.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 18c | 833.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…87bcbacked No | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes | 77c | 787.53$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 6c | 766.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 10c | 756.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 17c | 725.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 16c | 710$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 15c | 666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…84bfbacked Yes | 75c | 606.45$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked No | 17c | 601.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 11c | 584.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 16c | 515$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 9c | 499.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 15c | 499.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 3c | 496.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 21c | 406.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 16c | 392.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 77c | 376.7$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 18c | 375$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…7eeebacked Yes | 75c | 342.22$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 18c | 314.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 80c | 280.53$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked No | 17c | 256$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 77c | 244.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Yes | 75c | 242.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed No | 30c | 217.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…642cbacked Yes | 75c | 200.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 74cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 17c | 193.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 15c | 185.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 9c | 184.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 17c | 176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 18c | 172.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 17c | 170.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 168$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 20c | 149.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 17c | 144.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes | 77c | 136.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7901…dae0backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked No | 17c | 131.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 79c | 130.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Yes | 76c | 130.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 16c | 125.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…2513backed No | 16c | 123.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e0f5backed Yes | 77c | 116.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Yes | 75c | 116.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed No | 31c | 112.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 76c | 99.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 189 | 28%53 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 12c | 99.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c06…4321backed Yes | 75c | 98.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…4a1bbacked Yes | 75c | 88.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…5307backed Yes | 80c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 17c | 87.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked No | 20c | 84.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.