Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ef23e94221b3a82e4bc4d9d63b4aa7ced9afdca25fe55d9b9bfc9855b9a8333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 6c | 40,481$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…2d63backed Yes | 5c | 17,413$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…0de4backed Yes | 0c | 11,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 5c | 6,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 5c | 5,050$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…75a4backed Yes | 1c | 4,714$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe1…f922backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 3c | 1,707$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,531$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 1c | 1,412$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 5c | 1,250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 5c | 1,110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 5c | 960$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…4502backed Yes | 3c | 543.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…6e93backed Yes | 7c | 481.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 6c | 441.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 7c | 353.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 10c | 317.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 6c | 312.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 5c | 297$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…ab7dbacked Yes | 7c | 284.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 5c | 222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Yes | 6c | 204.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 7c | 200.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2e5fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 8c | 169.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 145.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 9c | 122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x067d…bef4backed Yes | 10c | 104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 95.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.