TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x635a…cccb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT9150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$28.06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$19.69
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$15.64
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.81
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$23.6
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$34.12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$33.36
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+197.8%+$49.45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66%+$1,406.59
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$7.17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.37
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+90.3%+$38.78
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$53.55
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$37.92
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+98%+$16.61
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+300%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+288.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+288.7%+$69.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtic FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+99.2%+$25.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37.4%+$5.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.