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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fordham Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 140.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$612,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$610,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over52c487,278$253,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234,257.933148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c236,295$114,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,221.7969142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under47c199,990$94,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,995.18246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,5009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c32,335$16,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,367.7712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe91…fb93backed Under0c26,797$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over52c20,000$10,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,640.5174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under47c9,100$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,283.82759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7604746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8202030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under47c4,300$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02113851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Under48c4,218$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.658351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c3,264$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.752,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c3,255$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.781,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ece…ef2fbacked Under50c2,858$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over53c2,851$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.845160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Under50c2,603$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.673043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Under49c1,935$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9475044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under46c1,858$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.729856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over55c1,145$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.3139744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under30c1,140$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.912,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaae7…0319backed Under47c1,060$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50048855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Under42c872.5$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.754757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under47c773.59$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.6113651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Under47c763.36$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Under48c750.02$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under54c750$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.563941%16 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under13c651.28$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.672,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under39c607.35$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.686848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over55c600$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c598.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.292,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c550.5$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.875,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23560548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635a…cccbbacked Under47c382.47$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6427045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under48c325.75$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.261782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+63.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Under47c250$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.51650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c244.81$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.724,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over60c229.74$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.91,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Under45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over60c220.56$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.022,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under47c219.19$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4218046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…fb93backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Under31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.62060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020046.5%93 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under38c200$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7542934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6529…ab39backed Under48c198$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over60c186$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.43,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over72c173.48$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0873549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over61c162$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5732751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under46c159.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.493740.5%15 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under51c146.3$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.023450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under51c116.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2179448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb378…ce53backed Under47c111.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3510536.2%38 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.9wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc7eb…28a9backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-74.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under50c96.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2918646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf52…2dafbacked Under38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under50c87.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8215844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20c8…6354backed Under48c73.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over55c66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4732343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa3a…a717backed Under29c60.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Under42c57.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under46c57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff2…d10fbacked Under50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de5…4a03backed Under51c53.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf643…412cbacked Under31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-51.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66fb…0cc9backed Over65c44.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over51c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.071,12446.4%521 W · 603 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Under51c40.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.552948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a6…3a51backed Under50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under42c33.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.339412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under46c33.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3938645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc1…dc77backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b02…399dbacked Under49c29.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-77.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Under48c28.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ad…0b0dbacked Under51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232c…12d7backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.273354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc53…6a68backed Under50c26.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c88…d85dbacked Under50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Over48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9210464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.291656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Under50c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.215058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.627955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.