Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f35e1e0f4b4cdb121c0cd45d52733107d07f8fb8282d6c36bd7f2069b13d8a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 50c | 159,541$79,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,770.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 50c | 151,698$75,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,848.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 51,175$25,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,590.33 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 27,678$18,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,669.35 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Over | 31c | 21,565$6,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,885.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 3,511$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.99 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 39c | 3,352$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.19 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 50c | 2,386$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 1,971$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.41 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 23c | 1,970$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.14 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 50c | 1,517$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 48c | 1,515$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 1,406$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.24 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 38c | 1,249$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.53 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,054$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.36 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…ef2fbacked Over | 51c | 972.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 946.91$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 51c | 791.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Over | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 713.14$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.19 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 50c | 685.79$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…503fbacked Under | 51c | 619.61$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 546$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 49c | 541.78$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.47 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 59c | 507.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 51c | 500.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…a641backed Over | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 61c | 427.33$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.82 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 47c | 396.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 355$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 346.51$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Over | 61c | 328.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 272$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 49c | 245.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 70c | 231.06$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 53c | 210.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 26c | 200$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 174.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…6e90backed Under | 61c | 164.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 57c | 159.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 73c | 153.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 44c | 134.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 40c | 131.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 45c | 104.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 63c | 101.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 88.9%32 W · 4 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…28a9backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…c365backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83fd…cad0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 51c | 99.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 97.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 51c | 97.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 51c | 96.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Over | 26c | 93.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +288.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 51c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 50c | 92.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 51c | 85.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 51c | 81.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 75.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.