Other European Leagues · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f2b883fc3a508300998368956b1bd7d155c517f531814f3d0db4f39410f9cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 49c | 61,826$30,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,531.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 49c | 59,681$29,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,437.34 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 51c | 51,140$26,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,081.61 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 30,456$15,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,740.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 51c | 7,175$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 6,519$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.46 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 6,500$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 5,802$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 51c | 3,865$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 51c | 3,584$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 51c | 2,075$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,851$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.77 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Under | 51c | 1,755$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 1,461$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.56 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 49c | 1,250$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.56 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,093$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 51c | 963.57$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.41 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 51c | 900$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.38 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Under | 51c | 821.57$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…ef2fbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 51c | 788.91$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.08 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Over | 42c | 707.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 51c | 641.6$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.22 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 49c | 490.51$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…f38dbacked Under | 51c | 347.06$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 293.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Under | 35c | 286.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 242.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 52c | 177.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…87aebacked Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 49c | 143.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 50c | 138.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 47c | 97.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 38c | 80.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 50c | 78.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 50c | 68.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed Under | 51c | 60.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 53c | 57.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Over | 50c | 50.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…1fd3backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Under | 52c | 42.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…3a51backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…d10fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 51c | 37.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 67c | 37.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Under | 51c | 36.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 38c | 32.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Over | 50c | 30.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Under | 71c | 18.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.