Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f559ae03b6e9522e63b4f2b4de22f5f08e052b7767580213d9273bc1e689189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $624,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $624,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 598,515$310,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310,499.79 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 48c | 350,000$168,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 48c | 150,020$72,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000.2 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Over | 49c | 50,671$25,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,663.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 7,559$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 48c | 4,240$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.8 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 49c | 3,750$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.5 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 52c | 3,546$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.37 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 2,953$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.85 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…baaebacked Over | 49c | 2,502$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,399$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 51c | 1,891$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.59 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 48c | 660$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 613$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.76 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 50c | 610.56$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.28 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 50c | 576$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 48c | 497.06$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.47 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Over | 52c | 436.63$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 49c | 262.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 49c | 101.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 49c | 76.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…9c15backed Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…37d8backed Under | 53c | 43.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 51c | 41.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 50c | 34.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 33.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 50c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Over | 49c | 21.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 144.5this page
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-5.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf PackNevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.