Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01edc2f3c2cac68b0c8f2d6ba4f15155c1ce02d1c54ce08b0d7a82ad08cdb81f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $835,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $838,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $835,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 597,115$304,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292,626.01 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 250,000$122,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,500 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 51c | 216,894$110,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,283.03 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 163,599$80,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,163.46 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 49c | 133,337$65,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,335.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 26,498$12,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,943.82 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 9,999$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.73 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 49c | 4,162$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.57 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 52c | 3,185$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.59 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 2,252$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,247$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 49c | 2,104$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.07 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 50c | 1,912$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.5 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 50c | 1,908$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.95 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Over | 54c | 1,291$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.31 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 52c | 425.42$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 48c | 296$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 259.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Over | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 194.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 50c | 167.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…f577backed Under | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 48c | 143.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 51c | 117.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 50c | 105.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…c291backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 52c | 96.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 50c | 83.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 49c | 69.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Under | 49c | 61.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Under | 50c | 60.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Over | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadca…58debacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…399dbacked Under | 51c | 35.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 52c | 35.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Over | 60c | 34.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Under | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…d031backed Over | 52c | 27.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Under | 50c | 23.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…4b6abacked Under | 49c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 50c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Under | 51c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 145.5this page
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M LionsEast Texas A&M Lions won
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 143.5Over won
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 144.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.