Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b9269f1e063da97ea2459cd547048034d7a239e50b7fe2a9202a4671e04d8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Texas A&M Lionsof Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, East Texas A&M Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 7c | 319.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 9c | 252.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed East Texas A&M Lions | 39c | 184$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 40c | 183.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 60c | 162.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 61c | 139.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 36c | 64.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed East Texas A&M Lions | 73c | 48.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 63c | 42.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 78c | 38.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 72cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed East Texas A&M Lions | 74c | 33.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…882fbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…3d78backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed East Texas A&M Lions | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed East Texas A&M Lions | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lionsthis page
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 143.5Over won
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 144.5Over won
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.