Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14c33b0eaa98027f2ead98e42b4a78dcfc1500f98e9d23f30b975fa1e3c8e2bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94da…25b5backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 370 | 7.8%29 W · 341 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 12c | 653.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 6c | 447.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 301.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 287.73$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…43edbacked Yes | 73c | 272.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 64c | 272.37$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 45c | 253.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 217$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1daf…f773backed Yes | 42c | 190.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 171$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 38c | 168.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed Yes | 53c | 131.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 154 | 66.9%103 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 128$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 68c | 116.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 71c | 105.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 61c | 104.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 65c | 100.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 58c | 97.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 34c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 57c | 89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 29c | 83.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 50c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 32c | 70.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 60c | 67.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 60c | 67.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 66.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 27c | 65.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 41c | 64.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 59c | 60.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 59.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 41c | 56.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 50c | 56.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 56c | 55.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed Yes | 50c | 54.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 42c | 53.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…4db5backed Yes | 57c | 52.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 27c | 47.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 40c | 46.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 36c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 45c | 45.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 39c | 44.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 62c | 42.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 48c | 41.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 40.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bd…b428backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 64c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked Yes | 41c | 36.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 30.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 62c | 30.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dc…263cbacked Yes | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…0d51backed No | 50c | 27.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 73c | 27.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 63c | 26.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 58c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 59c | 25.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 24.5%40 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 59c | 24.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Yes | 51c | 24.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 61c | 23.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 59c | 23.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 61c | 22.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 57c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 58c | 22.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 49c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…b1b2backed No | 57c | 21.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…91ddbacked Yes | 52c | 21.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…10ffbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 59c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 58c | 17.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 66c | 17.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.