Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Connecticut win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb803e01747e1e7128615fe4f6351a435bff122d6a991a549abea6590eb9d906
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed No | 50c | 21,238$10,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,594.87 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 43c | 15,000$6,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,471.21 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 11,371$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,104.03 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 63c | 11,282$7,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.16 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 24c | 7,110$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.68 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 72c | 5,333$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 71c | 5,149$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 5,100$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.03 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…cd72backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Yes | 31c | 3,575$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.57 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 34c | 3,492$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.16 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 49c | 2,096$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.7 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 58c | 1,754$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.6 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 58c | 1,723$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Yes | 45c | 1,707$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,404$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.2 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…bd0ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,238$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +111%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.11 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 35c | 1,082$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 1,020$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked No | 66c | 1,004$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.67 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa63…c12fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…1be6backed Yes | 54c | 919.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…7044backed Yes | 57c | 800$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 35c | 632$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…a550backed Yes | 60c | 590$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 35c | 526.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.99 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Yes | 58c | 511$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 75c | 311$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked No | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 60c | 182$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…f663backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 75c | 132.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 46c | 108.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 41c | 91.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 90.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…28bebacked Yes | 28c | 82.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 68c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d9…50c5backed Yes | 73c | 62.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…0ea1backed Yes | 76c | 57.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…2c81backed Yes | 50c | 50.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd880…cb50backed Yes | 35c | 48.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 58c | 37.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa648…76ecbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 23.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1ce4backed Yes | 76c | 17.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Connecticut win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Duke win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisiana State University win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Maryland win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will South Carolina win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will TCU win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UCLA win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.