Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will South Carolina win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb12b6ef42523fe8051dfcaee5aca145e541f0e613001a6becb499d4c9483cdd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 75c | 21,028$15,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.72 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes | 31c | 8,973$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.55 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…5823backed Yes | 25c | 3,689$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 72c | 3,458$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.82 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49a…e4a2backed Yes | 26c | 2,209$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,999$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.84 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…fe11backed No | 73c | 1,447$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 7c | 1,336$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 72c | 869.97$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.92 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 17c | 629.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…cd72backed Yes | 27c | 612.38$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 584$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 21c | 579.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 74c | 540$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes | 27c | 531.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 28c | 395$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 74c | 389$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 29c | 276.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 75c | 274.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 71c | 208.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 69c | 200.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f9…9d8ebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 73c | 178.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…bd0ebacked Yes | 26c | 167$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +111%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 65c | 160$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 28c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 115.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes | 26c | 109.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 48c | 107$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 105.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…fccdbacked Yes | 34c | 97.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 28c | 91.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 74c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 15c | 79.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 69c | 67.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 68c | 67.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…77d1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Carolina win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Connecticut win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Duke win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisiana State University win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Maryland win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will TCU win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UCLA win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.