Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9aebaf0db62416ddd70acd8eef6bf17902bc1d31746d9286a1b3c3e4fc612bb

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,803 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x17ed…c087backed No	69c	6,012$4,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,868.84	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…fbeabacked No	37c	2,887$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,806.31	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes	14c	2,553$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.1	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+8.1wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes	16c	2,245$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1b…1419backed Yes	19c	2,073$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.61	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f46…2cd1backed Yes	28c	1,729$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.73	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	64c	1,200$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772	549	34.6%190 W · 359 L	-37.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae4e…3507backed Yes	23c	1,128$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.55	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes	66c	679.92$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.2	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd6…b33cbacked Yes	40c	661.1$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes	63c	620.42$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.44	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-6.6wins	-0.20per pick	56cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd3ec…6603backed Yes	48c	617.65$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.9	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.23per pick	50cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d68…f390backed Yes	34c	578.98$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x058f…4883backed Yes	67c	569.71$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No	48c	499.85$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.4	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	71c	460.84$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.06	266	32.7%87 W · 179 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	29c	363.3$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.57	274	38.3%105 W · 169 L	-32.3wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No	77c	345.67$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.97	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…841bbacked Yes	15c	333.49$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.59	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1917…138bbacked Yes	45c	299.94$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.97	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e3…6677backed No	16c	293.36$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.36	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+6.1wins	+0.18per pick	12cpaid	+167.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	74c	293$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.82	118	39%46 W · 72 L	-13.1wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x880c…0642backed No	69c	290.86$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4961…3adfbacked Yes	55c	287.96$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.28	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes	22c	270.11$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.74	86	43%37 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb2…a893backed Yes	12c	263.01$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes	73c	250$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.5	81	42%34 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	16c	245.46$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.22	193	15.5%30 W · 163 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	26c	240.56$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.86	142	25.4%36 W · 106 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e3f…9ed2backed Yes	44c	213.53$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.94	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca0…5991backed No	55c	213.17$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.95	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	59cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf769…0114backed Yes	8c	211$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.04	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed11…10bebacked No	78c	200$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	132	25%33 W · 99 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	13c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked No	48c	187.02$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.48	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	10c	173.92$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	+5.4wins	+0.14per pick	12cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	78c	171.07$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.64	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	78c	167.1$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.76	316	35.1%111 W · 205 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes	18c	160.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.96	78	17.9%14 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb11…f7ecbacked Yes	48c	149.54$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.95	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes	8c	144.26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…6a8ebacked Yes	30c	141.36$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.83	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	33cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13ac…2c1abacked Yes	44c	138$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	70c	129$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.07	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc744…c967backed Yes	33c	127.21$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88e3…e426backed Yes	38c	119.42$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.44	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	48cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2712…eb71backed No	43c	116.74$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.74	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-39%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No	65c	112.76$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.76	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fd…15a0backed Yes	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da0…83f0backed Yes	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2e…0873backed No	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	126	30.2%38 W · 88 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+86.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No	42c	99.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	227	25.1%57 W · 170 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed Yes	52c	97.5$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed Yes	47c	93$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.71	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc054…c65abacked Yes	54c	87.07$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	50c	85.56$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.42	463	30.2%140 W · 323 L	-20.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81d1…4e30backed Yes	12c	83.86$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	69	42%29 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7f96…a226backed No	72c	81.7$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	80	51.3%41 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	24c	74.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	241	10.8%26 W · 215 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e4…c533backed Yes	73c	68.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x095b…8a05backed Yes	44c	63$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.72	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e81…864bbacked No	58c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73cb…7627backed Yes	44c	59$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.25per pick	41cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58d3…c14bbacked No	78c	53.55$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.78	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked Yes	73c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Yes	74c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+49%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…cb90backed Yes	74c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf710…edc9backed No	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58e9…441abacked No	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa287…416cbacked Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d8…b9d4backed No	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.35per pick	36cpaid	+127.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Yes	45c	48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	34c	47.89$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x061c…ba08backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed Yes	69c	43.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.26	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Yes	48c	41.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+25%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0607…e0e3backed Yes	39c	41.45$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a2…96e2backed No	54c	37.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5143…dbb3backed Yes	32c	37.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No	60c	36.45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe856…3789backed Yes	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	45c	33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf52…55d6backed Yes	45c	31.22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12c…def5backed Yes	45c	31.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.25per pick	61cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed Yes	44c	28.87$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	44cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Yes	36c	28.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	67c	28.14$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.24	246	37.4%92 W · 154 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked No	78c	27.73$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.05	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc209…5196backed Yes	47c	27.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfca7…8966backed Yes	45c	27.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	44c	26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…1f4abacked Yes	51c	25.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da9…ec6fbacked Yes	45c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9032…b5c3backed No	56c	23.03$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.16	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…dcfebacked No	66c	22.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.73	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…17cdbacked No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?this page
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No won
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes won
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No won
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event