NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1453cf924d44c41c9fd55bcd476ce34ded0c81cc03cfbaa175a13056de20243f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,434,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,442,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,434,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Bucks | 51c | 1,142,733$588,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588,000 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors | 49c | 500,000$245,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 49c | 342,293$166,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,053.83 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Raptors | 48c | 187,299$89,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,395.59 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 52c | 73,923$38,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,219.48 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 38,425$18,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,548.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 47c | 30,932$14,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,374.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 48c | 28,783$13,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,967.14 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Raptors | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 50c | 16,228$8,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,056.26 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Raptors | 48c | 15,810$7,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,221.31 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 52c | 14,408$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,907.73 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Raptors | 50c | 13,221$6,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,610.34 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Raptors | 52c | 8,913$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.49 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 48c | 8,061$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.7 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Bucks | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Raptors | 48c | 6,100$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks | 46c | 5,989$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.96 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Raptors | 50c | 5,470$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Bucks | 43c | 5,008$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.33 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 55c | 4,635$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Raptors | 49c | 4,568$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.49 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 49c | 4,442$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.36 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…58c1backed Bucks | 52c | 4,231$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Raptors | 54c | 3,882$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.75 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…a0afbacked Bucks | 46c | 3,696$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…894fbacked Bucks | 47c | 3,419$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Raptors | 49c | 3,320$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.16 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bucks | 2c | 3,203$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 45c | 3,067$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.14 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Raptors | 49c | 2,984$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.98 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Bucks | 50c | 2,927$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.55 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 54c | 2,522$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.96 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd39…1b8abacked Bucks | 52c | 2,227$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Raptors | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Raptors | 50c | 2,200$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…3fc7backed Bucks | 46c | 2,135$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 48c | 1,858$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.15 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Raptors | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,440$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.18 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Bucks | 69c | 1,329$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.03 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.22 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Bucks | 46c | 1,106$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.53 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors | 57c | 1,054$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.72 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Bucks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Bucks | 46c | 1,018$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.45 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Raptors | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Bucks | 49c | 994.69$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…3301backed Raptors | 51c | 951.12$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bucks | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Bucks | 51c | 780.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 49c | 611.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.1 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 47c | 565.18$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Raptors | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Raptors | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Bucks | 50c | 428.45$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Bucks | 47c | 426.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Raptors | 51c | 399.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Bucks | 52c | 377.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Raptors | 49c | 369.39$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.39 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 49c | 367$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.25 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Raptors | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 51c | 281$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Bucks | 7c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Bucks | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Bucks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Bucks | 50c | 200.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Raptors | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…0accbacked Bucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bucks | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Bucks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Raptors | 52c | 195.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…9f1cbacked Bucks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Raptors | 15c | 188.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bucks | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Bucks | 50c | 144.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Raptors | 53c | 140.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Raptors | 57c | 127$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Bucks | 51c | 126.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Raptors | 60c | 120.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Raptors | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…c75abacked Bucks | 56c | 115.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Raptors | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 49c | 113.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Bucks | 52c | 100.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Raptors | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bucks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Raptors | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Raptors | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Bucks | 46c | 99.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Bucks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bucks | 45c | 95.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)this page
- Raptors vs. BucksRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.