Earnings · resolved market
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b7ffa2267c76412d7eff4b0382e8ad411ec128ad6d09cebbe10ca02d25d67bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 6c | 5,772$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 14c | 3,893$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.08 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 75c | 2,405$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.84 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 2,262$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.1 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 17c | 1,977$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.12 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2535…053fbacked No | 14c | 1,830$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.58 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…aad8backed Yes | 80c | 1,781$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.82 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 22c | 1,583$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.59 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 16c | 1,552$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 15c | 1,507$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 25c | 1,500$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…2308backed Yes | 77c | 867.34$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 16c | 849.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 2c | 836.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 76c | 750$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…5f31backed No | 17c | 717.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 24c | 696.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed No | 22c | 682.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 14c | 654.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 76c | 629.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0144…38ccbacked No | 3c | 615$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…094cbacked No | 13c | 578.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 558.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed No | 18c | 551.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…5ba0backed No | 11c | 481$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 19c | 467.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed No | 13c | 450$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 21c | 399.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 79c | 391.16$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 7c | 376.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…7662backed No | 23c | 352.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 23c | 351.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed No | 14c | 350$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked No | 15c | 341.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 21c | 322$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed No | 12c | 298.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…ac7dbacked No | 22c | 276.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…714cbacked No | 21c | 271.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 13c | 263.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed Yes | 79c | 253.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 14c | 250.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked No | 23c | 219.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked No | 15c | 199.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 5c | 191.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 79c | 176.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 24c | 175.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 16c | 165$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 16c | 149.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…5652backed No | 15c | 133.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…f6bebacked No | 8c | 126.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 119.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 78c | 112.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed No | 24c | 108.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3655backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…b404backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 18c | 85.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…9e9abacked Yes | 78c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 28c | 79.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…cda2backed No | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…9ceabacked No | 24c | 66.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -91%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 78c | 63.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 80c | 62.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 76c | 62.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 77c | 52.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…ad58backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 76c | 40.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 79c | 39.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 79c | 36.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25df…ba12backed Yes | 76c | 36.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…cc60backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d62…fc71backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 40 | 87.5%35 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 71c | 26.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…4f3ebacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked Yes | 78c | 25.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29e2…fb50backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b3…4798backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…0d49backed Yes | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…bbb9backed Yes | 80c | 20.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.