Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas vs. St. John's
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe9165a9452d6c24eb583cab3ebcac7309e0b4d79aecbc5ef3f736b2504739f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansasof Arkansas, St. John's
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $638,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ef4…292cbacked St. John's | 74c | 145,000$107,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa62…1de2backed Arkansas | 26c | 145,000$37,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed St. John's | 8c | 73,380$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.94 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed St. John's | 51c | 36,450$18,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,714.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Arkansas | 49c | 22,088$10,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,175.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Arkansas | 27c | 20,000$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,619.19 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked St. John's | 62c | 19,449$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,100 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed St. John's | 65c | 18,192$11,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,782.12 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed St. John's | 75c | 15,418$11,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,610.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Arkansas | 62c | 12,861$8,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.46 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Arkansas | 31c | 12,572$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,655.25 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Arkansas | 24c | 11,810$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,971.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…ee0cbacked St. John's | 74c | 10,010$7,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,407.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…4f2fbacked St. John's | 74c | 10,004$7,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,402.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a7a0backed Arkansas | 26c | 9,990$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4f…12e2backed Arkansas | 26c | 9,990$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Arkansas | 24c | 9,630$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,361.69 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Arkansas | 31c | 8,919$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,186 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…f77bbacked St. John's | 76c | 8,498$6,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,458.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Arkansas | 36c | 8,269$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Arkansas | 55c | 6,047$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed St. John's | 73c | 5,871$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.07 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Arkansas | 26c | 5,862$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.88 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed St. John's | 73c | 5,546$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Arkansas | 37c | 5,417$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Arkansas | 58c | 5,365$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed St. John's | 77c | 5,018$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.86 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked St. John's | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Arkansas | 46c | 5,000$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arkansas | 25c | 4,965$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.99 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed St. John's | 48c | 4,329$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed St. John's | 74c | 4,194$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.37 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Arkansas | 28c | 3,921$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.91 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Arkansas | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.15 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed St. John's | 74c | 3,814$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.39 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Arkansas | 28c | 3,607$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.03 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed St. John's | 75c | 3,522$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Arkansas | 37c | 3,437$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.47 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked St. John's | 77c | 3,134$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked Arkansas | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed St. John's | 73c | 2,720$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked St. John's | 50c | 2,551$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66af…d58ebacked St. John's | 75c | 2,533$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed St. John's | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Arkansas | 41c | 2,496$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.18 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Arkansas | 43c | 2,482$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.01 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed St. John's | 29c | 2,122$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.62 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked St. John's | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Arkansas | 75c | 2,010$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas | 45c | 2,000$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.44 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Arkansas | 31c | 1,923$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.91 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked St. John's | 39c | 1,892$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Arkansas | 71c | 1,510$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed St. John's | 61c | 1,484$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…21debacked Arkansas | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed St. John's | 77c | 1,363$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed St. John's | 72c | 1,330$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…470ebacked Arkansas | 24c | 1,286$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…75bebacked St. John's | 76c | 1,286$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Arkansas | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked St. John's | 40c | 1,172$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.78 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. John's | 48c | 1,142$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.05 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Arkansas | 72c | 1,124$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Arkansas | 27c | 1,107$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Arkansas | 24c | 1,050$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked St. John's | 76c | 1,050$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked St. John's | 73c | 1,025$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.24 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e3…663dbacked St. John's | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed St. John's | 74c | 1,004$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed St. John's | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Arkansas | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked St. John's | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed St. John's | 67c | 996.15$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.21 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Arkansas | 22c | 991.74$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…4196backed Arkansas | 27c | 980$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Arkansas | 30c | 938.2$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Arkansas | 73c | 924.58$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Arkansas | 24c | 871.79$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.79 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed St. John's | 59c | 857.04$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.78 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed St. John's | 73c | 840.71$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.72 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…3b86backed St. John's | 76c | 832.15$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…dd66backed Arkansas | 24c | 832.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Arkansas | 59c | 776.14$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.37 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arkansas | 25c | 721.68$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Arkansas | 47c | 712.5$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Arkansas | 74c | 691$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…0cb9backed St. John's | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Arkansas | 68c | 653.84$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed St. John's | 62c | 620.79$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.25 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…2257backed Arkansas | 30c | 600$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…2271backed St. John's | 75c | 575.37$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked St. John's | 74c | 541.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Arkansas | 63c | 531.47$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.47 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Arkansas | 32c | 500$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…8a48backed St. John's | 54c | 500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Arkansas | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Arkansas | 20c | 480$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Arkansas | 43c | 463.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Arkansas | 38c | 452.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.34 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…475dbacked St. John's | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.